KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS

Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 10:39:03 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 10:39:03 GMT 1

Morning lads

A very tricky day ahead and Kempton has gotta be 1 of the hardest race cards ive seen there for ages.Ive studied the form as best i can and i
think ive come up with a good few that will give us a great run for our money'especially with my win bets'

Ive had £3,000 on HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 3RD cover bet 2 places at 2/5 and if it wins the 1st at Nottingham the rest of my bets will be ALL PROFIT

Ive laid out alot of cash today on my combo's today and will stake some massive 'single'bets with cover where applicable.Ive done some perms
below more for interest really but ive had a 'good go'at my favourite perm.

Theres some each way chances at the bottom of this post and 'again'i'll only have an interest bet on these as singles as ive placed a ew lucky 15
on the 4 selections.Im usually pretty poor at these and you could probably come up with better 1's yourselves

Best win bets

Ive put my best win bets into ready made combo bets but again you can choose your own combo's from the below.It could be an idea to place a
'2 place cover bet'on these selections for safety cos as we know theres 'always 1'who runs into something and finishes 2nd

Each way 6 fold(£250 EW 6 FOLD)

Nott 2.00 HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 1/1 3RD
Nott 4.00 VOLUME 9/4 WON
Ludl 3.40 PLANETOID 13/8 2ND
Nava 3.05 WAAHEB 2/1 2ND
Nava 3.35 CEISTEACH 9/4 LOST
Nava 4.05 BELISARIUS 1/1 3RD

each way treble(£250 EW TREBLE)

Nott 2.30 DANDANA 2ND 15/8
Nott 3.30 TORRID WON 5/2
Kemp 6.10 POETIC VERSE 9/4

Ive placed the below 6 fold using the cover bet 3 places and ive gone 'all out attack' with a £500 win accy.The odds show the current odds on the
cover bet

Nott 2.00 HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 1/4 PUSH
Nott 4.00 VOLUME 8/15 WON
Ludl 3.40 PLANETOID 4/7 PUSH
Nava 3.35 CEISTEACH 6/5 LOST
Nava 4.05 BELISARIUS 4/11 PUSH
Nott 2.30 DANDANA 8/15 PUSH
Nott 3.30 TORRID 10/11 WON

Ive put the below into ready made perms but it could be an idea to mix n match them to make your own permed combo's.Ive done them all in 50/50
split 'Dutch bets'Too

PERM 2x2x2x2=16 bets x 'your stake'win 4 fold(favourite perm)

Nott 4.00 VOLUME WON 9/4 or GOLD TRAIL 3/1
Kemp 8.10 CLAIM THE ROSES 13/8 or FINN CLASS 4/1
Nava 3.05 WARHHAB 2ND 13/8 or SARDINIA WON 11/4*
Nava 3.35 CEISTEACH 9/4 or MARVELLOUS WON 9/2

Perm 2x3x2=12 bets x 'your stake'win treble

Nott 3.00 SLEEPY SIOUX 3RD 7/2 or BAYTOWN KESTREL NONRUNNER 8/1
Nott 5.00 DEMONIC 11/4 or PERSONABLE(EW) 5/1 or VILLORESI 20/1
Nott 5.30 PANNETONE 6/1 or HECTORS CHANCE 7/2

Perm 2x2x2=8 bets x'your stake' win treble

Kemp 5.40 FINE ART FAIR 3/1 or PARTY RULER 3/1
Kemp 8.40 LUTINE BELL 4/1 or DUKE OF COSIMO 5/1
Nava 5.35 TONABROCKY 5/2 or RUPA 4/1

As with yesterday the 'each ways'are often difficult to get in and i usually hit only about 25% with the wins and there not something i get
overly exited about.

Each ways

Ive put these into an each way lucky 15

NOTT 4.30 SAVE THE BEES 5/1
Kemp 6.40 PEARL SPECTRE 3/1
Kemp 7.10 HESBAAN 11/4
Kemp 8.40 LUTINE BELL 4/1

The very best of luck fellas....n heres to HOPIN for a CRACKIN DAY[/font]

Last Edit: Oct 9, 2013 16:43:24 GMT 1 by Kerching

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Kerching
master tipper

Posts: 2,927

KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 11:50:41 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 11:50:41 GMT 1

lil write up to show our viewers how i go about my horse selection

Nott 2.30 DANDANA 2ND

This colt trained by Clive Brittain has only had 2 runs in his short career so far.His debut run at Newmarket was over todays trip of 6 furlongs.
He ran a cracker that day on 'good ground'to finish 7 lengths behind the Godolphin trained MUSIC THEORY.That rival has since gone onto win a class
2 conditions race by 9 lengths then followed that up with a 2 length 3rd in a 'group 3'to the well touted KINGMAN.

The 2nd placed horse on my slection debut was the Roger Varian trained TOOFI,Again that rival has won a class 2 conditions race at Newmarket
beating the pattern raced JALLOTA by 1 length.

Considering Toofi was only 2 lengths ahead of my selection that day Dandana must have a outstanding chance 'form wise'to take this maiden.

If we can forgive my selections 10 length defeat in a class 2 maiden at York ,which in any normal circumstances 'i wouldnt'but it was on an easy
surface of 'good to soft'and im willing to overlook that run in what look s a week race now back on a firmer surface.

'I'd love to write a peice about all my selections but it takes ages but at least it gives you an insight into my thought process and im not just
using the old lucky pin with my eyes closed'

Last Edit: Oct 9, 2013 14:34:35 GMT 1 by Kerching

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mugpunter hustler Posts: 489	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 12:08:01 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by mugpunter on Oct 9, 2013 12:08:01 GMT 1 cheers fella - going to have a crack at some of these today. GL - hope we have a good day

Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 13:10:22 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 13:10:22 GMT 1

3.35 Navan CEISTEACH 15/8 WIN or cover bets 2 places 5/4 or 3 places 5/6

This bolger trained colt has only had 1 run to date and his race course debut was at a very high level namely a listed race at Tipperary over
7 furlongs 100 yds.

On this occasion she finished 3 lengths beind the O'brien trained Galileo colt INDIAN MAHARAJA.That rival already had race course experience
having already won a maiden race at Gowran Park by 6.5 lengths.

My selection will be unlucky to run into a rival of that calibre today and with the benefit of his last outing she would have to go high on the
shortlist to take this 1 mile maiden.

The selection does however run against a host of top yards who are having there racecourse debuts namely O'brien,Weld,Watchman,Prendergast and
John Oxx.And to be perfectly honest you wouldnt be surprised at at least one these stables had a star in the making waiting in the wings.

With years of racing knowledge under Bolgers belt i'd doubt he would have entered this filly at listed level had he not thought her capable of
doing herself justice and i do like form in the book rather than potential.

My selection has shown herself to be upto a high grade and with racecourse experience now under her belt im willing to take the risk that theres
nothing exceptional waiting to pounce.

BETTING IDEAS-With the points raised above it could be foolish to go for the straight win due to the'unkown qauntity factor'and i'd maybe go for
the cover bet 3 places at 5/6 with any substantial stake.

If i was combing the selection in a double i'd take the fixed odds of 15/8 and try and combine it with a similiar price and do them both in an
each way double therefor returning all stakes should they both place with a realistic chance of winning.

'oh my god...you dont only get tips on T.T.T your also get betting strategies...Jesus were good' LOL

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Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 13:45:11 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 13:45:11 GMT 1

Kempton 6.10 POETIC VERSE 9/4 WIN or cover bet 2 places 6/5

This Rod Millman trained filly can boast the only course victory in this 7 runner field.In conjuction with that she can boast the highest level
of form having raced at grade 3 h'cap level in 3 of her last 4 starts over today distance of 1mile 3 furlongs.

That level of competion is at least 1 level higher than any other rival within this field.To be perfectly honest my selection hasnt come close
to winning any of those events.The closest she came to winning at that level was back in june at Salsbury where she finished 2.5 lengths 3rd to the
David Simcock trained colt CAFE SOCIETY.

That rival has competed a the very highest level of h'capping having won a class 3 h'cap at Salsbury,finished 2nd in another at class 2 h'cap level
at Ascot and has only 1 failed to make the money once in 6 career starts.

With 2 wins on the articial surfaces at Lingfield and more importantly Kempton the selection obviously has a liking for the artificial surfaces.

So with the selection having raced at a higher level than any of her rivals and her course victory i believe she will be hard to beat today.

Inconjuction with this she's partnered today by the inform Andrea Atzeni who has been riding out of his skin of late and has numerous winners
this year on the all weather circuit.

My selection is however not the favourite and that is taken by the Moore trained 13/8 gelding CHECKPOINT.Ridden tonight by Ryan Moore who i always
look for when riding for his father.In my opinion the form of this gelding isnt as strong as my selection but only time will tell.

BETTING IDEAS-With only 2 places up for grabs i might be tempted to go for the straight win at 2/1 but with there being a 13/8 fav heralding from
the father and son Moore houshold i think it would be wise to go for a 'cover bet 2 places at 10/11'

'OMG This sort of info shoud be in the racing post or sporting life...THATSS IF IT WINS OF COURSE LOL'

Last Edit: Oct 9, 2013 13:55:02 GMT 1 by Kerching

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Kerching
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Posts: 2,927

KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 13:49:37 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 13:49:37 GMT 1

Well lads thats enough of KERCHING'S INFO...ITS NOW DOWN TO BUSINESS...AND AS THEY SAY...'TALK IS CHEAP'

LET EM RIDE BABY............IIIIIIIIIITTTTTTTSSSSSS RACE TIME

GOOD LUCK TT'ERS AND ALL WHO SAIL WITH HER...LETS HOPE WE DEAFEN THE BOOKIES WITH THE 'RING OF THE KERCHINGGGGGGGGGGGGGG'

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rocksylady newbie Posts: 47	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 13:53:38 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by rocksylady on Oct 9, 2013 13:53:38 GMT 1 Thanks Kerching for the write ups. Lot of hard work. Much appreciated.

Kerching
master tipper

Posts: 2,927

KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 14:09:35 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 14:09:35 GMT 1

ROCKSY

That was the best lesson on how to 'loose' 3 grand in 60 seconds...'wot can you do when these gg's just dont perform upto there form lines'

Thats the game tho,i covered myself with 2 places in that bet and in hindsight it was a spot greedy having already placed another bet with
the cover on 3 places.

I suspect the ground in running slower than the 'good' as advertised...no excuses tho WELL BEATEN

Hope its not 1 of those days...my bets are all on now so ive gotta hope im right more then im wrong

My apologies if you followed with that 1...i dont think i will have been the only 1 to have his hands 'burnt off'there

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rocksylady newbie Posts: 47	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 14:18:52 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by rocksylady on Oct 9, 2013 14:18:52 GMT 1 So far Have only followed with Poetic Verse and Hasbaan . Taking my time and studying the rest. Good luck with the rest

Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 14:25:43 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 14:25:43 GMT 1

Talk about being on the back foot ...straight away!!!...knocks ya confidence that type of result BIG TIME!!!

Its now a question of 'do i trust my judgement and hit another BIG SINGLE or see how my combo bets get on first...descisions descisions

I think if you dont trust your knowledge and judgement you might aswell pack in and do something else for a living

bet placed

£2,000 win DANDANA 'Cover bet 2 places' 1/2

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Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 14:29:29 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 14:29:29 GMT 1

Rocksy

This might sound a daft question and doesnt effect anything but are you a man or a woman...i only ask cos i refer to everyone being boys
i.e lads..dudes ect

Your a shrewd punter no matter what and i like your style

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Kerching
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KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 14:45:25 GMT 1

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Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 14:45:25 GMT 1

Jesus Christ....PHEW im glad i did a cover bet 2 places and that nearly went down the pan

DANDANA backed from 15/8 to odds on and well beaten again by a newcomer from a relatively uninspriring yard.

You cant trust the form or the betting either...16/1 shot beats a 'well backed favourite'

OMG Ive seen these dark days before....Im experienced with these days but its still unnerving of knowing what to do for the best.

Another 1 bites the dust...thanks the lord ive got wise to this game and VERY RARELY DO STRAIGHT WINS

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rocksylady newbie Posts: 47	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 15:06:23 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by rocksylady on Oct 9, 2013 15:06:23 GMT 1 Not a daft question at all Kerching. I'm a woman. Doesn't seem to be many of us around on these forums , unless like me the girls don't post very often.

rocksylady newbie Posts: 47	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 15:20:38 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by rocksylady on Oct 9, 2013 15:20:38 GMT 1 Ketching its only by reading your posts that I have started to do cover bets. I never thought of it as an option before.

Kerching master tipper Posts: 2,927	KERCHING'S WEDNESDAY WARRIORS Oct 9, 2013 15:22:43 GMT 1 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Kerching on Oct 9, 2013 15:22:43 GMT 1 I thought so Rocks...my apologies for just sayin boys,lads ect Im a bit slow on the uptake hun LOL
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